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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

14:30

Venue

Vonovia Ruhrstadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfL Bochum Win

38%

VfL Bochum

2.64

27%

Draw

3.77

36%

Borussia Dortmund

2.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

1 – 2

8.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

VfL Bochum xG

Total xG

2.98

1.46

Borussia Dortmund xG

38%
27%
36%
VfL BochumDrawBorussia Dortmund

2.64

38%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

2.81

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.57

Clean Sheet

23%

VfL Bochum

4.32

22%

Borussia Dortmund

4.54

Win to Nil

9%

VfL Bochum

11.43

8%

Borussia Dortmund

12.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 7.5 5.5 2.7 1.0 0.3
1 7.7 11.3 8.3 4.0 1.5 0.4
2 5.8 8.5 6.3 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 2.9 4.3 3.2 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 1.1 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.514
λ Away (xG) 1.464
Total xG 2.978
League avg home goals 1.685
League avg away goals 1.368
VfL Bochum attack strength 0.774
VfL Bochum defence strength 1.099
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 0.973
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 1.161
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55