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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 18 Jan 2026

14:30

Venue

MHPArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfB Stuttgart Win

43%

VfB Stuttgart

2.34

30%

Draw

3.34

27%

Union Berlin

3.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

VfB Stuttgart xG

Total xG

2.57

1.12

Union Berlin xG

43%
30%
27%
VfB StuttgartDrawUnion Berlin

2.34

43%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

3.67

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

33%

VfB Stuttgart

3.07

23%

Union Berlin

4.27

Win to Nil

14%

VfB Stuttgart

7.17

6%

Union Berlin

15.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 8.6 4.8 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 11.1 12.4 7.0 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.0 9.0 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 3.9 4.4 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.451
λ Away (xG) 1.121
Total xG 2.572
League avg home goals 1.752
League avg away goals 1.444
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 0.906
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 0.994
Union Berlin attack strength 0.781
Union Berlin defence strength 0.915
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51