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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 12 Apr 2026

16:30

Venue

MHPArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfB Stuttgart Win

53%

VfB Stuttgart

1.87

25%

Draw

4.07

22%

Hamburger SV

4.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

VfB Stuttgart xG

Total xG

2.61

0.96

Hamburger SV xG

53%
25%
22%
VfB StuttgartDrawHamburger SV

1.87

53%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

4.55

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

38%

VfB Stuttgart

2.61

19%

Hamburger SV

5.20

Win to Nil

20%

VfB Stuttgart

4.88

4%

Hamburger SV

23.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 7.1 3.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 12.1 11.7 5.6 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 9.6 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 5.5 5.3 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 2.3 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.648
λ Away (xG) 0.960
Total xG 2.608
League avg home goals 1.693
League avg away goals 1.459
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 0.938
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 0.814
Hamburger SV attack strength 0.809
Hamburger SV defence strength 1.038
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 28