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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sun 26 Oct 2025

16:30

Venue

MHPArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfB Stuttgart Win

54%

VfB Stuttgart

1.87

24%

Draw

4.24

23%

FSV Mainz 05

4.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

VfB Stuttgart xG

Total xG

2.81

1.06

FSV Mainz 05 xG

54%
24%
23%
VfB StuttgartDrawFSV Mainz 05

1.87

54%

Home win

4.24

24%

Draw

4.37

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

35%

VfB Stuttgart

2.89

17%

FSV Mainz 05

5.76

Win to Nil

19%

VfB Stuttgart

5.39

4%

FSV Mainz 05

25.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 6.4 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 10.5 11.2 5.9 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.2 9.8 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.4 5.7 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.4 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.751
λ Away (xG) 1.060
Total xG 2.811
League avg home goals 1.546
League avg away goals 1.543
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 0.960
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 0.718
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 0.957
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 1.180
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41