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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

14:30

Venue

MHPArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfB Stuttgart Win

51%

VfB Stuttgart

1.95

27%

Draw

3.73

22%

FC St. Pauli

4.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.96

VfB Stuttgart xG

Total xG

3.22

1.26

FC St. Pauli xG

51%
27%
22%
VfB StuttgartDrawFC St. Pauli

1.95

51%

Home win

3.73

27%

Draw

4.58

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.78

Clean Sheet

28%

VfB Stuttgart

3.52

14%

FC St. Pauli

7.12

Win to Nil

15%

VfB Stuttgart

6.85

3%

FC St. Pauli

32.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 5.0 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 7.8 9.9 6.2 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 7.7 9.7 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 5.0 6.3 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 2.5 3.1 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 1.0 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.963
λ Away (xG) 1.258
Total xG 3.221
League avg home goals 1.671
League avg away goals 1.487
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 1.258
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 1.054
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.803
FC St. Pauli defence strength 0.934
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 14