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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

14:30

Venue

MHPArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfB Stuttgart Win

57%

VfB Stuttgart

1.76

23%

Draw

4.29

20%

1. FC Heidenheim

4.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

VfB Stuttgart xG

Total xG

2.72

0.95

1. FC Heidenheim xG

57%
23%
20%
VfB StuttgartDraw1. FC Heidenheim

1.76

57%

Home win

4.29

23%

Draw

4.99

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

39%

VfB Stuttgart

2.58

17%

1. FC Heidenheim

5.86

Win to Nil

22%

VfB Stuttgart

4.56

3%

1. FC Heidenheim

29.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 6.3 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 11.7 11.1 5.3 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.3 9.8 4.7 1.5 0.3 0.1
3 6.1 5.8 2.7 0.9 0.2
4 2.7 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.768
λ Away (xG) 0.949
Total xG 2.717
League avg home goals 1.580
League avg away goals 1.595
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 1.058
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 0.757
1. FC Heidenheim attack strength 0.785
1. FC Heidenheim defence strength 1.058
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39