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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Fri 25 Apr 2025

19:30

Venue

MHPArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfB Stuttgart Win

50%

VfB Stuttgart

2.02

23%

Draw

4.34

27%

1. FC Heidenheim

3.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 2

6.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.99

VfB Stuttgart xG

Total xG

3.43

1.45

1. FC Heidenheim xG

50%
23%
27%
VfB StuttgartDraw1. FC Heidenheim

2.02

50%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

3.65

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.50

33%

BTTS No

2.99

Clean Sheet

24%

VfB Stuttgart

4.24

14%

1. FC Heidenheim

7.30

Win to Nil

12%

VfB Stuttgart

8.55

4%

1. FC Heidenheim

26.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 4.7 3.4 1.6 0.6 0.2
1 6.4 9.3 6.7 3.2 1.2 0.3
2 6.4 9.2 6.7 3.2 1.2 0.3
3 4.2 6.1 4.4 2.1 0.8 0.2
4 2.1 3.0 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.988
λ Away (xG) 1.445
Total xG 3.433
League avg home goals 1.499
League avg away goals 1.453
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 1.154
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 1.182
1. FC Heidenheim attack strength 0.841
1. FC Heidenheim defence strength 1.149
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64