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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 4 Apr 2026

17:30

Venue

MHPArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfB Stuttgart Win

39%

VfB Stuttgart

2.55

26%

Draw

3.84

35%

Borussia Dortmund

2.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

VfB Stuttgart xG

Total xG

2.74

1.32

Borussia Dortmund xG

39%
26%
35%
VfB StuttgartDrawBorussia Dortmund

2.55

39%

Home win

3.84

26%

Draw

2.88

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

27%

VfB Stuttgart

3.74

24%

Borussia Dortmund

4.13

Win to Nil

10%

VfB Stuttgart

9.54

8%

Borussia Dortmund

11.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 8.5 5.6 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 9.2 12.1 8.0 3.5 1.2 0.3
2 6.5 8.6 5.7 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.1 4.1 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.419
λ Away (xG) 1.320
Total xG 2.739
League avg home goals 1.724
League avg away goals 1.440
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 1.011
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 0.773
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.186
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 0.814
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61