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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Fri 28 Feb 2025

19:30

Venue

MHPArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

25%

VfB Stuttgart

4.07

27%

Draw

3.71

48%

Bayern München

2.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

0 – 1

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

VfB Stuttgart xG

Total xG

2.92

1.73

Bayern München xG

25%
27%
48%
VfB StuttgartDrawBayern München

4.07

25%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

2.06

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.42

Clean Sheet

18%

VfB Stuttgart

5.64

31%

Bayern München

3.27

Win to Nil

4%

VfB Stuttgart

22.93

15%

Bayern München

6.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 9.4 8.1 4.7 2.0 0.7
1 6.4 11.1 9.6 5.5 2.4 0.8
2 3.8 6.6 5.7 3.3 1.4 0.5
3 1.5 2.6 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.2
4 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.186
λ Away (xG) 1.729
Total xG 2.915
League avg home goals 1.676
League avg away goals 1.333
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 1.080
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 1.037
Bayern München attack strength 1.251
Bayern München defence strength 0.655
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57