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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

18:30

Venue

MHPArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen Win

24%

VfB Stuttgart

4.22

23%

Draw

4.27

53%

Bayer Leverkusen

1.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.7%

Away win

0 – 1

7.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

VfB Stuttgart xG

Total xG

3.22

1.96

Bayer Leverkusen xG

24%
23%
53%
VfB StuttgartDrawBayer Leverkusen

4.22

24%

Home win

4.27

23%

Draw

1.89

53%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.65

Clean Sheet

14%

VfB Stuttgart

7.08

28%

Bayer Leverkusen

3.53

Win to Nil

3%

VfB Stuttgart

29.85

15%

Bayer Leverkusen

6.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 7.8 7.7 5.0 2.4 1.0
1 5.0 9.9 9.7 6.3 3.1 1.2
2 3.2 6.2 6.1 4.0 1.9 0.8
3 1.3 2.6 2.6 1.7 0.8 0.3
4 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.260
λ Away (xG) 1.957
Total xG 3.217
League avg home goals 1.539
League avg away goals 1.399
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 1.121
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 1.088
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.285
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 0.730
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59