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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 5 Sep 2026

14:30

Venue

MHPArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

VfB Stuttgart Win

58%

VfB Stuttgart

1.73

21%

Draw

4.70

21%

1. FC Köln

4.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

2 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.07

VfB Stuttgart xG

Total xG

3.24

1.17

1. FC Köln xG

58%
21%
21%
VfB StuttgartDraw1. FC Köln

1.73

58%

Home win

4.70

21%

Draw

4.78

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.53

Clean Sheet

31%

VfB Stuttgart

3.23

13%

1. FC Köln

7.89

Win to Nil

18%

VfB Stuttgart

5.59

3%

1. FC Köln

37.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 4.6 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 8.1 9.5 5.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.4 9.8 5.8 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 5.8 6.8 4.0 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 3.0 3.5 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.066
λ Away (xG) 1.172
Total xG 3.238
League avg home goals 1.822
League avg away goals 1.468
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 1.040
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 0.861
1. FC Köln attack strength 0.927
1. FC Köln defence strength 1.090
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34