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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

14:30

Venue

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Werder Bremen Win

34%

Union Berlin

2.91

27%

Draw

3.69

39%

Werder Bremen

2.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.6%

Away win

0 – 1

8.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Union Berlin xG

Total xG

2.87

1.48

Werder Bremen xG

34%
27%
39%
Union BerlinDrawWerder Bremen

2.91

34%

Home win

3.69

27%

Draw

2.60

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.44

Clean Sheet

23%

Union Berlin

4.40

25%

Werder Bremen

4.01

Win to Nil

8%

Union Berlin

12.79

10%

Werder Bremen

10.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 8.4 6.2 3.1 1.1 0.3
1 7.9 11.7 8.6 4.3 1.6 0.5
2 5.5 8.1 6.0 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 2.5 3.8 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.2
4 0.9 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.389
λ Away (xG) 1.481
Total xG 2.870
League avg home goals 1.498
League avg away goals 1.406
Union Berlin attack strength 0.915
Union Berlin defence strength 0.966
Werder Bremen attack strength 1.090
Werder Bremen defence strength 1.013
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65