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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 6 Apr 2025

16:30

Venue

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfL Wolfsburg Win

26%

Union Berlin

3.83

29%

Draw

3.44

45%

VfL Wolfsburg

2.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

10.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.93

Union Berlin xG

Total xG

2.24

1.31

VfL Wolfsburg xG

26%
29%
45%
Union BerlinDrawVfL Wolfsburg

3.83

26%

Home win

3.44

29%

Draw

2.23

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

27%

Union Berlin

3.70

39%

VfL Wolfsburg

2.54

Win to Nil

7%

Union Berlin

14.17

18%

VfL Wolfsburg

5.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 13.9 9.1 4.0 1.3 0.3
1 9.9 13.0 8.5 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 4.6 6.0 4.0 1.7 0.6 0.1
3 1.4 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.932
λ Away (xG) 1.309
Total xG 2.241
League avg home goals 1.504
League avg away goals 1.435
Union Berlin attack strength 0.705
Union Berlin defence strength 0.854
VfL Wolfsburg attack strength 1.068
VfL Wolfsburg defence strength 0.879
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61