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Union Berlin vs VfL Bochum – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sat 14 Dec 2024

14:30

Venue

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union Berlin Win

56%

Union Berlin

1.79

27%

Draw

3.65

17%

VfL Bochum

5.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.84

Union Berlin xG

Total xG

2.80

0.95

VfL Bochum xG

56%
27%
17%
Union BerlinDrawVfL Bochum

1.79

56%

Home win

3.65

27%

Draw

5.95

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

38%

Union Berlin

2.60

16%

VfL Bochum

6.31

Win to Nil

21%

Union Berlin

4.66

3%

VfL Bochum

37.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 5.8 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 11.2 10.7 5.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.3 9.9 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 6.4 6.1 2.9 0.9 0.2
4 2.9 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.842
λ Away (xG) 0.955
Total xG 2.797
League avg home goals 1.658
League avg away goals 1.481
Union Berlin attack strength 0.843
Union Berlin defence strength 0.865
VfL Bochum attack strength 0.746
VfL Bochum defence strength 1.317
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47