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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

14:30

Venue

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfB Stuttgart Win

32%

Union Berlin

3.09

25%

Draw

3.98

43%

VfB Stuttgart

2.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

2 – 1

7.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Union Berlin xG

Total xG

3.18

1.71

VfB Stuttgart xG

32%
25%
43%
Union BerlinDrawVfB Stuttgart

3.09

32%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

2.35

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.78

Clean Sheet

18%

Union Berlin

5.52

23%

VfB Stuttgart

4.35

Win to Nil

6%

Union Berlin

17.08

10%

VfB Stuttgart

10.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 7.1 6.1 3.5 1.5 0.5
1 6.1 10.5 8.9 5.1 2.2 0.7
2 4.5 7.7 6.6 3.7 1.6 0.5
3 2.2 3.8 3.2 1.8 0.8 0.3
4 0.8 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.470
λ Away (xG) 1.709
Total xG 3.179
League avg home goals 1.657
League avg away goals 1.510
Union Berlin attack strength 0.919
Union Berlin defence strength 1.033
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 1.096
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 0.966
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34