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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

17:30

Venue

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfB Stuttgart Win

29%

Union Berlin

3.49

31%

Draw

3.19

40%

VfB Stuttgart

2.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

12.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Union Berlin xG

Total xG

2.07

1.14

VfB Stuttgart xG

29%
31%
40%
Union BerlinDrawVfB Stuttgart

3.49

29%

Home win

3.19

31%

Draw

2.50

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.40

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

32%

Union Berlin

3.14

40%

VfB Stuttgart

2.52

Win to Nil

9%

Union Berlin

10.93

16%

VfB Stuttgart

6.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.7 14.5 8.3 3.1 0.9 0.2
1 11.7 13.4 7.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 5.4 6.2 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 1.7 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.924
λ Away (xG) 1.143
Total xG 2.067
League avg home goals 1.476
League avg away goals 1.441
Union Berlin attack strength 0.730
Union Berlin defence strength 0.766
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 1.036
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 0.858
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63