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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 1 Nov 2025

14:30

Venue

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union Berlin Win

46%

Union Berlin

2.19

25%

Draw

4.03

29%

SC Freiburg

3.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Union Berlin xG

Total xG

2.80

1.22

SC Freiburg xG

46%
25%
29%
Union BerlinDrawSC Freiburg

2.19

46%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

3.39

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

30%

Union Berlin

3.38

21%

SC Freiburg

4.85

Win to Nil

14%

Union Berlin

7.40

6%

SC Freiburg

16.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 7.4 4.5 1.8 0.6 0.1
1 9.6 11.7 7.1 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.6 9.3 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.0 4.9 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.6 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.578
λ Away (xG) 1.218
Total xG 2.796
League avg home goals 1.534
League avg away goals 1.523
Union Berlin attack strength 1.045
Union Berlin defence strength 1.010
SC Freiburg attack strength 0.792
SC Freiburg defence strength 0.984
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42