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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Fri 12 Dec 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

RB Leipzig Win

33%

Union Berlin

3.00

28%

Draw

3.60

39%

RB Leipzig

2.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Union Berlin xG

Total xG

2.63

1.37

RB Leipzig xG

33%
28%
39%
Union BerlinDrawRB Leipzig

3.00

33%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

2.57

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

25%

Union Berlin

3.95

28%

RB Leipzig

3.51

Win to Nil

8%

Union Berlin

11.83

11%

RB Leipzig

9.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 9.9 6.8 3.1 1.1 0.3
1 9.1 12.4 8.5 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.7 7.8 5.4 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 2.4 3.3 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.256
λ Away (xG) 1.373
Total xG 2.629
League avg home goals 1.703
League avg away goals 1.416
Union Berlin attack strength 0.878
Union Berlin defence strength 0.985
RB Leipzig attack strength 0.985
RB Leipzig defence strength 0.840
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47