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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 2 Mar 2025

14:30

Venue

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union Berlin Win

43%

Union Berlin

2.30

27%

Draw

3.75

30%

Holstein Kiel

3.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 0

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Union Berlin xG

Total xG

3.04

1.36

Holstein Kiel xG

43%
27%
30%
Union BerlinDrawHolstein Kiel

2.30

43%

Home win

3.75

27%

Draw

3.34

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.63

Clean Sheet

26%

Union Berlin

3.91

19%

Holstein Kiel

5.33

Win to Nil

11%

Union Berlin

9.01

6%

Holstein Kiel

17.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 6.5 4.5 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 8.0 10.9 7.5 3.4 1.2 0.3
2 6.7 9.2 6.2 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 3.7 5.1 3.5 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.6 2.1 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.674
λ Away (xG) 1.364
Total xG 3.038
League avg home goals 1.630
League avg away goals 1.385
Union Berlin attack strength 0.728
Union Berlin defence strength 0.917
Holstein Kiel attack strength 1.074
Holstein Kiel defence strength 1.411
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 23