Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 19 Jan 2025

14:30

Venue

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FSV Mainz 05 Win

21%

Union Berlin

4.73

25%

Draw

4.07

54%

FSV Mainz 05

1.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

0 – 2

10.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.93

Union Berlin xG

Total xG

2.59

1.66

FSV Mainz 05 xG

21%
25%
54%
Union BerlinDrawFSV Mainz 05

4.73

21%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

1.84

54%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

19%

Union Berlin

5.24

39%

FSV Mainz 05

2.54

Win to Nil

4%

Union Berlin

24.76

21%

FSV Mainz 05

4.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 12.4 10.3 5.7 2.4 0.8
1 7.0 11.6 9.6 5.3 2.2 0.7
2 3.3 5.4 4.5 2.5 1.0 0.3
3 1.0 1.7 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.934
λ Away (xG) 1.656
Total xG 2.590
League avg home goals 1.796
League avg away goals 1.451
Union Berlin attack strength 0.651
Union Berlin defence strength 0.976
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 1.170
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 0.800
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51