Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 5 Apr 2026

14:30

Venue

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union Berlin Win

46%

Union Berlin

2.20

26%

Draw

3.78

28%

FC St. Pauli

3.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Union Berlin xG

Total xG

2.58

1.10

FC St. Pauli xG

46%
26%
28%
Union BerlinDrawFC St. Pauli

2.20

46%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

3.57

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

33%

Union Berlin

3.01

23%

FC St. Pauli

4.38

Win to Nil

15%

Union Berlin

6.62

6%

FC St. Pauli

15.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 8.3 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 11.2 12.3 6.8 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.3 9.1 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.1 4.5 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.5 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.478
λ Away (xG) 1.103
Total xG 2.581
League avg home goals 1.711
League avg away goals 1.446
Union Berlin attack strength 0.847
Union Berlin defence strength 1.112
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.686
FC St. Pauli defence strength 1.019
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61