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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Fri 17 Oct 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Mönchengladbach Win

32%

Union Berlin

3.11

26%

Draw

3.89

42%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

2.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Union Berlin xG

Total xG

2.84

1.53

Borussia Mönchengladbach xG

32%
26%
42%
Union BerlinDrawBorussia Mönchengladbach

3.11

32%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

2.37

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.36

Clean Sheet

22%

Union Berlin

4.63

27%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

3.71

Win to Nil

7%

Union Berlin

14.40

11%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

8.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 8.9 6.8 3.5 1.3 0.4
1 7.6 11.7 9.0 4.6 1.8 0.5
2 5.0 7.7 5.9 3.0 1.2 0.4
3 2.2 3.4 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.2
4 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.311
λ Away (xG) 1.533
Total xG 2.844
League avg home goals 1.598
League avg away goals 1.512
Union Berlin attack strength 0.877
Union Berlin defence strength 1.090
Borussia Mönchengladbach attack strength 0.930
Borussia Mönchengladbach defence strength 0.935
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40