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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

14:30

Venue

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

16%

Union Berlin

6.44

27%

Draw

3.73

58%

Bayern München

1.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.7%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

12.6%

Away win

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.72

Union Berlin xG

Total xG

2.33

1.61

Bayern München xG

16%
27%
58%
Union BerlinDrawBayern München

6.44

16%

Home win

3.73

27%

Draw

1.73

58%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.38

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

20%

Union Berlin

5.00

49%

Bayern München

2.05

Win to Nil

3%

Union Berlin

32.16

28%

Bayern München

3.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 15.7 12.6 6.8 2.7 0.9
1 7.0 11.3 9.1 4.9 2.0 0.6
2 2.5 4.1 3.3 1.8 0.7 0.2
3 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1
4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.720
λ Away (xG) 1.609
Total xG 2.329
League avg home goals 1.519
League avg away goals 1.388
Union Berlin attack strength 0.672
Union Berlin defence strength 0.896
Bayern München attack strength 1.293
Bayern München defence strength 0.706
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59