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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

14:30

Venue

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union Berlin Win

38%

Union Berlin

2.61

25%

Draw

4.05

37%

1899 Hoffenheim

2.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.4%

Home win

1 – 2

8.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Union Berlin xG

Total xG

3.20

1.58

1899 Hoffenheim xG

38%
25%
37%
Union BerlinDraw1899 Hoffenheim

2.61

38%

Home win

4.05

25%

Draw

2.70

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.80

Clean Sheet

21%

Union Berlin

4.86

20%

1899 Hoffenheim

5.03

Win to Nil

8%

Union Berlin

12.69

7%

1899 Hoffenheim

13.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 6.5 5.1 2.7 1.1 0.3
1 6.6 10.4 8.3 4.4 1.7 0.5
2 5.3 8.4 6.7 3.5 1.4 0.4
3 2.9 4.5 3.6 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.2 1.8 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.615
λ Away (xG) 1.582
Total xG 3.197
League avg home goals 1.669
League avg away goals 1.495
Union Berlin attack strength 0.971
Union Berlin defence strength 0.973
1899 Hoffenheim attack strength 1.087
1899 Hoffenheim defence strength 0.997
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 36 / 36