Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 21 Feb 2025

19:30

Venue

Europa-Park Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Freiburg Win

47%

SC Freiburg

2.12

25%

Draw

4.05

28%

Werder Bremen

3.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

7.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.87

SC Freiburg xG

Total xG

3.28

1.41

Werder Bremen xG

47%
25%
28%
SC FreiburgDrawWerder Bremen

2.12

47%

Home win

4.05

25%

Draw

3.56

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.86

Clean Sheet

24%

SC Freiburg

4.10

15%

Werder Bremen

6.48

Win to Nil

12%

SC Freiburg

8.68

4%

Werder Bremen

23.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 5.3 3.7 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 7.0 9.9 7.0 3.3 1.2 0.3
2 6.6 9.3 6.5 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 4.1 5.8 4.1 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.9 2.7 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.869
λ Away (xG) 1.411
Total xG 3.280
League avg home goals 1.639
League avg away goals 1.364
SC Freiburg attack strength 1.050
SC Freiburg defence strength 0.945
Werder Bremen attack strength 1.095
Werder Bremen defence strength 1.086
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56