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SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Fri 13 Dec 2024

19:30

Venue

Europa-Park Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfL Wolfsburg Win

29%

SC Freiburg

3.40

26%

Draw

3.83

44%

VfL Wolfsburg

2.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

2 – 1

7.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

SC Freiburg xG

Total xG

3.46

1.92

VfL Wolfsburg xG

29%
26%
44%
SC FreiburgDrawVfL Wolfsburg

3.40

29%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

2.25

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.45

31%

BTTS No

3.25

Clean Sheet

15%

SC Freiburg

6.80

21%

VfL Wolfsburg

4.70

Win to Nil

4%

SC Freiburg

23.15

9%

VfL Wolfsburg

10.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 6.0 5.7 3.7 1.8 0.7
1 4.8 9.3 8.9 5.7 2.7 1.0
2 3.7 7.2 6.9 4.4 2.1 0.8
3 1.9 3.7 3.6 2.3 1.1 0.4
4 0.7 1.4 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.548
λ Away (xG) 1.917
Total xG 3.465
League avg home goals 1.642
League avg away goals 1.480
SC Freiburg attack strength 1.024
SC Freiburg defence strength 0.932
VfL Wolfsburg attack strength 1.390
VfL Wolfsburg defence strength 0.920
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47