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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

14:30

Venue

Europa-Park-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfB Stuttgart Win

33%

SC Freiburg

2.99

24%

Draw

4.24

43%

VfB Stuttgart

2.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.7%

Away win

2 – 1

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

SC Freiburg xG

Total xG

3.41

1.82

VfB Stuttgart xG

33%
24%
43%
SC FreiburgDrawVfB Stuttgart

2.99

33%

Home win

4.24

24%

Draw

2.33

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.49

33%

BTTS No

3.05

Clean Sheet

16%

SC Freiburg

6.17

20%

VfB Stuttgart

4.90

Win to Nil

5%

SC Freiburg

18.47

9%

VfB Stuttgart

11.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3 6.0 5.5 3.3 1.5 0.6
1 5.3 9.6 8.7 5.3 2.4 0.9
2 4.2 7.6 6.9 4.2 1.9 0.7
3 2.2 4.0 3.7 2.2 1.0 0.4
4 0.9 1.6 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.589
λ Away (xG) 1.820
Total xG 3.409
League avg home goals 1.669
League avg away goals 1.495
SC Freiburg attack strength 0.951
SC Freiburg defence strength 1.185
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 1.027
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 1.002
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 36 / 36