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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 30 Mar 2025

14:30

Venue

Europa-Park Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Freiburg Win

68%

SC Freiburg

1.47

18%

Draw

5.42

14%

Union Berlin

7.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.30

SC Freiburg xG

Total xG

3.23

0.93

Union Berlin xG

68%
18%
14%
SC FreiburgDrawUnion Berlin

1.47

68%

Home win

5.42

18%

Draw

7.36

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

39%

SC Freiburg

2.53

10%

Union Berlin

9.95

Win to Nil

27%

SC Freiburg

3.72

1%

Union Berlin

73.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 3.7 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 9.1 8.5 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
2 10.5 9.7 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 8.0 7.5 3.5 1.1 0.2
4 4.6 4.3 2.0 0.6 0.1
5 2.1 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.298
λ Away (xG) 0.929
Total xG 3.227
League avg home goals 1.525
League avg away goals 1.399
SC Freiburg attack strength 1.180
SC Freiburg defence strength 0.790
Union Berlin attack strength 0.840
Union Berlin defence strength 1.277
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60