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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

17:30

Venue

Europa-Park Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Freiburg Win

59%

SC Freiburg

1.70

22%

Draw

4.51

19%

RB Leipzig

5.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

2 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.08

SC Freiburg xG

Total xG

3.20

1.12

RB Leipzig xG

59%
22%
19%
SC FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig

1.70

59%

Home win

4.51

22%

Draw

5.27

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.47

Clean Sheet

33%

SC Freiburg

3.05

12%

RB Leipzig

8.02

Win to Nil

19%

SC Freiburg

5.19

2%

RB Leipzig

42.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 4.6 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
1 8.5 9.5 5.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.9 9.9 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 6.1 6.9 3.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 3.2 3.6 2.0 0.7 0.2
5 1.3 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.082
λ Away (xG) 1.116
Total xG 3.198
League avg home goals 1.556
League avg away goals 1.411
SC Freiburg attack strength 1.299
SC Freiburg defence strength 0.830
RB Leipzig attack strength 0.954
RB Leipzig defence strength 1.030
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58