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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sun 9 Nov 2025

14:30

Venue

Europa-Park-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Freiburg Win

49%

SC Freiburg

2.04

26%

Draw

3.78

25%

FC St. Pauli

4.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

SC Freiburg xG

Total xG

2.57

1.02

FC St. Pauli xG

49%
26%
25%
SC FreiburgDrawFC St. Pauli

2.04

49%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

4.07

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

36%

SC Freiburg

2.78

21%

FC St. Pauli

4.71

Win to Nil

18%

SC Freiburg

5.68

5%

FC St. Pauli

19.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 7.8 4.0 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 11.8 12.1 6.2 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.2 9.4 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.7 4.8 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 1.8 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.549
λ Away (xG) 1.024
Total xG 2.573
League avg home goals 1.640
League avg away goals 1.463
SC Freiburg attack strength 1.034
SC Freiburg defence strength 1.008
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.695
FC St. Pauli defence strength 0.913
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43