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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

14:30

Venue

Europa-Park-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Freiburg Win

42%

SC Freiburg

2.36

25%

Draw

3.94

32%

FC Augsburg

3.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

1 – 2

7.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

SC Freiburg xG

Total xG

3.12

1.45

FC Augsburg xG

42%
25%
32%
SC FreiburgDrawFC Augsburg

2.36

42%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

3.10

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.71

Clean Sheet

24%

SC Freiburg

4.24

19%

FC Augsburg

5.36

Win to Nil

10%

SC Freiburg

10.02

6%

FC Augsburg

16.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 6.4 4.6 2.2 0.8 0.2
1 7.4 10.7 7.7 3.7 1.3 0.4
2 6.2 9.0 6.5 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 3.5 5.0 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.5 2.1 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.679
λ Away (xG) 1.445
Total xG 3.124
League avg home goals 1.657
League avg away goals 1.510
SC Freiburg attack strength 1.019
SC Freiburg defence strength 1.064
FC Augsburg attack strength 0.899
FC Augsburg defence strength 0.994
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34