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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 4 Apr 2026

14:30

Venue

Europa-Park-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

20%

SC Freiburg

4.88

20%

Draw

4.96

59%

Bayern München

1.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.7%

Draw

0 – 2

7.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

SC Freiburg xG

Total xG

3.45

2.21

Bayern München xG

20%
20%
59%
SC FreiburgDrawBayern München

4.88

20%

Home win

4.96

20%

Draw

1.69

59%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.73

Clean Sheet

11%

SC Freiburg

9.12

29%

Bayern München

3.45

Win to Nil

2%

SC Freiburg

44.51

17%

Bayern München

5.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 7.0 7.8 5.7 3.2 1.4
1 3.9 8.7 9.6 7.1 3.9 1.7
2 2.4 5.4 6.0 4.4 2.4 1.1
3 1.0 2.2 2.5 1.8 1.0 0.4
4 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.238
λ Away (xG) 2.211
Total xG 3.449
League avg home goals 1.692
League avg away goals 1.393
SC Freiburg attack strength 1.003
SC Freiburg defence strength 0.964
Bayern München attack strength 1.647
Bayern München defence strength 0.730
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61