Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 25 Jan 2025

14:30

Venue

Europa-Park Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

29%

SC Freiburg

3.44

22%

Draw

4.56

49%

Bayern München

2.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

2 – 1

6.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

SC Freiburg xG

Total xG

3.48

1.98

Bayern München xG

29%
22%
49%
SC FreiburgDrawBayern München

3.44

29%

Home win

4.56

22%

Draw

2.04

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.49

33%

BTTS No

3.02

Clean Sheet

14%

SC Freiburg

7.26

22%

Bayern München

4.45

Win to Nil

4%

SC Freiburg

24.97

11%

Bayern München

9.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 6.1 6.1 4.0 2.0 0.8
1 4.6 9.2 9.1 6.0 3.0 1.2
2 3.5 6.8 6.8 4.5 2.2 0.9
3 1.7 3.4 3.4 2.2 1.1 0.4
4 0.6 1.3 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.493
λ Away (xG) 1.982
Total xG 3.475
League avg home goals 1.778
League avg away goals 1.452
SC Freiburg attack strength 1.125
SC Freiburg defence strength 1.023
Bayern München attack strength 1.334
Bayern München defence strength 0.746
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52