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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

14:30

Venue

Europa-Park Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Freiburg Win

48%

SC Freiburg

2.09

25%

Draw

4.04

27%

1899 Hoffenheim

3.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

SC Freiburg xG

Total xG

2.99

1.26

1899 Hoffenheim xG

48%
25%
27%
SC FreiburgDraw1899 Hoffenheim

2.09

48%

Home win

4.04

25%

Draw

3.66

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.68

41%

BTTS No

2.46

Clean Sheet

28%

SC Freiburg

3.51

18%

1899 Hoffenheim

5.64

Win to Nil

14%

SC Freiburg

7.33

5%

1899 Hoffenheim

20.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 6.3 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 8.7 11.0 6.9 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 9.5 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 4.3 5.5 3.4 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.9 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.729
λ Away (xG) 1.257
Total xG 2.986
League avg home goals 1.487
League avg away goals 1.425
SC Freiburg attack strength 1.060
SC Freiburg defence strength 1.056
1899 Hoffenheim attack strength 0.835
1899 Hoffenheim defence strength 1.097
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63