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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 25 Jan 2026

16:30

Venue

Europa-Park-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Freiburg Win

60%

SC Freiburg

1.67

24%

Draw

4.19

16%

1. FC Köln

6.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

10.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.05

SC Freiburg xG

Total xG

3.05

1.01

1. FC Köln xG

60%
24%
16%
SC FreiburgDraw1. FC Köln

1.67

60%

Home win

4.19

24%

Draw

6.14

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

37%

SC Freiburg

2.74

13%

1. FC Köln

7.75

Win to Nil

22%

SC Freiburg

4.57

2%

1. FC Köln

47.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 4.7 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 9.7 9.7 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 9.9 10.0 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 6.7 6.8 3.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 3.5 3.5 1.8 0.6 0.1
5 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.048
λ Away (xG) 1.007
Total xG 3.055
League avg home goals 1.663
League avg away goals 1.480
SC Freiburg attack strength 1.110
SC Freiburg defence strength 0.890
1. FC Köln attack strength 0.764
1. FC Köln defence strength 1.109
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 18