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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 15 Feb 2026

16:30

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

RB Leipzig Win

62%

RB Leipzig

1.61

20%

Draw

4.93

18%

VfL Wolfsburg

5.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.7%

Draw

3 – 1

7.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.42

RB Leipzig xG

Total xG

3.68

1.26

VfL Wolfsburg xG

62%
20%
18%
RB LeipzigDrawVfL Wolfsburg

1.61

62%

Home win

4.93

20%

Draw

5.65

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

50%

Over 3.5

2.00

50%

Under 3.5

2.00

31%

Over 4.5

3.23

69%

Under 4.5

1.45

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.51

34%

BTTS No

2.95

Clean Sheet

28%

RB Leipzig

3.53

9%

VfL Wolfsburg

11.20

Win to Nil

18%

RB Leipzig

5.69

2%

VfL Wolfsburg

63.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.5 3.2 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1
1 6.1 7.7 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.2
2 7.4 9.3 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 5.9 7.5 4.7 2.0 0.6 0.2
4 3.6 4.5 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.7 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.416
λ Away (xG) 1.261
Total xG 3.677
League avg home goals 1.705
League avg away goals 1.380
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.124
RB Leipzig defence strength 1.063
VfL Wolfsburg attack strength 0.859
VfL Wolfsburg defence strength 1.261
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55