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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

14:30

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

RB Leipzig Win

42%

RB Leipzig

2.38

25%

Draw

4.07

34%

VfB Stuttgart

2.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 2

7.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.78

RB Leipzig xG

Total xG

3.36

1.58

VfB Stuttgart xG

42%
25%
34%
RB LeipzigDrawVfB Stuttgart

2.38

42%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

2.98

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.49

33%

BTTS No

3.02

Clean Sheet

21%

RB Leipzig

4.85

17%

VfB Stuttgart

5.93

Win to Nil

9%

RB Leipzig

11.56

6%

VfB Stuttgart

17.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 5.5 4.3 2.3 0.9 0.3
1 6.2 9.8 7.7 4.1 1.6 0.5
2 5.5 8.7 6.9 3.6 1.4 0.5
3 3.3 5.2 4.1 2.1 0.8 0.3
4 1.5 2.3 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.780
λ Away (xG) 1.579
Total xG 3.359
League avg home goals 1.534
League avg away goals 1.481
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.202
RB Leipzig defence strength 0.944
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 1.130
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 0.966
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67