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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Wed 14 Jan 2026

19:30

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

RB Leipzig Win

64%

RB Leipzig

1.56

20%

Draw

4.97

16%

SC Freiburg

6.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

7.9%

Home win

1 – 1

7.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.45

RB Leipzig xG

Total xG

3.64

1.19

SC Freiburg xG

64%
20%
16%
RB LeipzigDrawSC Freiburg

1.56

64%

Home win

4.97

20%

Draw

6.27

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

49%

Over 3.5

2.04

51%

Under 3.5

1.96

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.55

35%

BTTS No

2.83

Clean Sheet

30%

RB Leipzig

3.29

9%

SC Freiburg

11.58

Win to Nil

19%

RB Leipzig

5.15

1%

SC Freiburg

72.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.6 3.1 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.1
1 6.4 7.7 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 7.9 9.4 5.6 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 6.4 7.7 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 3.9 4.7 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.9 2.3 1.4 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.449
λ Away (xG) 1.192
Total xG 3.641
League avg home goals 1.743
League avg away goals 1.455
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.245
RB Leipzig defence strength 0.839
SC Freiburg attack strength 0.977
SC Freiburg defence strength 1.129
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 50