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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

14:30

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

RB Leipzig Win

65%

RB Leipzig

1.54

18%

Draw

5.46

17%

Holstein Kiel

5.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.7%

Home win

1 – 1

7.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.54

RB Leipzig xG

Total xG

3.80

1.26

Holstein Kiel xG

65%
18%
17%
RB LeipzigDrawHolstein Kiel

1.54

65%

Home win

5.46

18%

Draw

5.95

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

73%

Over 2.5

1.37

27%

Under 2.5

3.70

53%

Over 3.5

1.89

47%

Under 3.5

2.13

33%

Over 4.5

3.03

67%

Under 4.5

1.49

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.51

34%

BTTS No

2.96

Clean Sheet

28%

RB Leipzig

3.51

8%

Holstein Kiel

12.69

Win to Nil

18%

RB Leipzig

5.42

1%

Holstein Kiel

75.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.2 2.8 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1
1 5.7 7.2 4.5 1.9 0.6 0.1
2 7.2 9.1 5.7 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 6.1 7.7 4.8 2.0 0.6 0.2
4 3.9 4.9 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 2.0 2.5 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.541
λ Away (xG) 1.257
Total xG 3.798
League avg home goals 1.487
League avg away goals 1.425
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.230
RB Leipzig defence strength 0.932
Holstein Kiel attack strength 0.946
Holstein Kiel defence strength 1.390
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 29