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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 31 Jan 2026

14:30

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

RB Leipzig Win

59%

RB Leipzig

1.69

22%

Draw

4.57

19%

FSV Mainz 05

5.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.2%

Draw

2 – 0

7.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.30

RB Leipzig xG

Total xG

3.58

1.28

FSV Mainz 05 xG

59%
22%
19%
RB LeipzigDrawFSV Mainz 05

1.69

59%

Home win

4.57

22%

Draw

5.26

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.51

34%

BTTS No

2.95

Clean Sheet

28%

RB Leipzig

3.59

10%

FSV Mainz 05

9.97

Win to Nil

16%

RB Leipzig

6.07

2%

FSV Mainz 05

52.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8 3.6 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 6.4 8.2 5.2 2.2 0.7 0.2
2 7.4 9.4 6.0 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 5.7 7.2 4.6 2.0 0.6 0.2
4 3.3 4.2 2.7 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 1.5 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.300
λ Away (xG) 1.277
Total xG 3.577
League avg home goals 1.642
League avg away goals 1.460
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.220
RB Leipzig defence strength 0.967
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 0.904
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 1.148
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53