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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
RB Leipzig Win
39%
2.56
27%
3.68
34%
2.96
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.9%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.7%
Home win
1 – 2
8.1%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.60
RB Leipzig xG
Total xG
3.08
1.48
FSV Mainz 05 xG
RB LeipzigDrawFSV Mainz 05
2.56
39%
Home win
3.68
27%
Draw
2.96
34%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
59%
Over 2.5
1.69
41%
Under 2.5
2.44
37%
Over 3.5
2.70
63%
Under 3.5
1.59
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
63%
BTTS Yes
1.58
37%
BTTS No
2.72
Clean Sheet
23%
4.39
20%
4.96
Win to Nil
9%
11.25
7%
14.66
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6 | 6.8 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 7.4 | 10.9 | 8.1 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.9 | 8.7 | 6.4 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.1 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.601
λ Away (xG)
1.480
Total xG
3.081
League avg home goals
1.674
League avg away goals
1.344
RB Leipzig attack strength
1.140
RB Leipzig defence strength
1.040
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength
1.059
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength
0.838
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
57 / 57