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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 9 May 2026

14:30

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

RB Leipzig Win

68%

RB Leipzig

1.48

20%

Draw

5.06

13%

FC St. Pauli

7.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.14

RB Leipzig xG

Total xG

2.95

0.81

FC St. Pauli xG

68%
20%
13%
RB LeipzigDrawFC St. Pauli

1.48

68%

Home win

5.06

20%

Draw

7.87

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.02

51%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

44%

RB Leipzig

2.25

12%

FC St. Pauli

8.48

Win to Nil

30%

RB Leipzig

3.34

1%

FC St. Pauli

66.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 11.2 9.1 3.7 1.0 0.2
2 12.0 9.7 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 8.5 6.9 2.8 0.8 0.2
4 4.6 3.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 1.9 1.6 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.138
λ Away (xG) 0.813
Total xG 2.951
League avg home goals 1.714
League avg away goals 1.485
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.237
RB Leipzig defence strength 0.879
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.623
FC St. Pauli defence strength 1.008
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66