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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 23 Feb 2025

14:30

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

RB Leipzig Win

59%

RB Leipzig

1.70

21%

Draw

4.68

20%

1. FC Heidenheim

5.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.9%

Draw

3 – 1

7.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.34

RB Leipzig xG

Total xG

3.66

1.32

1. FC Heidenheim xG

59%
21%
20%
RB LeipzigDraw1. FC Heidenheim

1.70

59%

Home win

4.68

21%

Draw

5.09

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

50%

Over 3.5

2.00

50%

Under 3.5

2.00

31%

Over 4.5

3.23

69%

Under 4.5

1.45

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.48

33%

BTTS No

3.07

Clean Sheet

27%

RB Leipzig

3.76

10%

1. FC Heidenheim

10.37

Win to Nil

16%

RB Leipzig

6.38

2%

1. FC Heidenheim

52.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.6 3.4 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 6.0 7.9 5.3 2.3 0.8 0.2
2 7.0 9.3 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 5.5 7.2 4.8 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 3.2 4.2 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.5 2.0 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.339
λ Away (xG) 1.325
Total xG 3.664
League avg home goals 1.668
League avg away goals 1.347
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.172
RB Leipzig defence strength 0.986
1. FC Heidenheim attack strength 0.998
1. FC Heidenheim defence strength 1.197
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56