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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

14:30

Venue

Holstein-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfB Stuttgart Win

25%

Holstein Kiel

4.01

25%

Draw

4.04

50%

VfB Stuttgart

1.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

0 – 1

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Holstein Kiel xG

Total xG

3.14

1.87

VfB Stuttgart xG

25%
25%
50%
Holstein KielDrawVfB Stuttgart

4.01

25%

Home win

4.04

25%

Draw

1.99

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.63

Clean Sheet

15%

Holstein Kiel

6.48

28%

VfB Stuttgart

3.57

Win to Nil

4%

Holstein Kiel

25.98

14%

VfB Stuttgart

7.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 8.1 7.5 4.7 2.2 0.8
1 5.5 10.3 9.6 6.0 2.8 1.0
2 3.5 6.5 6.1 3.8 1.8 0.7
3 1.5 2.8 2.6 1.6 0.8 0.3
4 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.273
λ Away (xG) 1.869
Total xG 3.142
League avg home goals 1.602
League avg away goals 1.386
Holstein Kiel attack strength 0.908
Holstein Kiel defence strength 1.399
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 0.964
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 0.875
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 24 / 58