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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

14:30

Venue

Holstein-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Freiburg Win

31%

Holstein Kiel

3.18

25%

Draw

3.97

43%

SC Freiburg

2.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

2 – 1

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Holstein Kiel xG

Total xG

3.17

1.73

SC Freiburg xG

31%
25%
43%
Holstein KielDrawSC Freiburg

3.18

31%

Home win

3.97

25%

Draw

2.30

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.76

Clean Sheet

18%

Holstein Kiel

5.62

24%

SC Freiburg

4.25

Win to Nil

6%

Holstein Kiel

17.91

10%

SC Freiburg

9.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 7.2 6.2 3.6 1.6 0.5
1 6.1 10.5 9.0 5.2 2.2 0.8
2 4.4 7.6 6.5 3.8 1.6 0.6
3 2.1 3.6 3.1 1.8 0.8 0.3
4 0.8 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.446
λ Away (xG) 1.727
Total xG 3.173
League avg home goals 1.545
League avg away goals 1.448
Holstein Kiel attack strength 0.982
Holstein Kiel defence strength 1.441
SC Freiburg attack strength 0.828
SC Freiburg defence strength 0.953
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 66