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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

14:30

Venue

Holstein-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Augsburg Win

22%

Holstein Kiel

4.64

31%

Draw

3.20

47%

FC Augsburg

2.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.8%

Away win

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Holstein Kiel xG

Total xG

2.59

1.57

FC Augsburg xG

22%
31%
47%
Holstein KielDrawFC Augsburg

4.64

22%

Home win

3.20

31%

Draw

2.12

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

21%

Holstein Kiel

4.81

36%

FC Augsburg

2.77

Win to Nil

4%

Holstein Kiel

22.32

17%

FC Augsburg

5.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 11.8 9.3 4.9 1.9 0.6
1 7.6 12.0 9.4 4.9 1.9 0.6
2 3.9 6.1 4.8 2.5 1.0 0.3
3 1.3 2.1 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.018
λ Away (xG) 1.571
Total xG 2.589
League avg home goals 1.671
League avg away goals 1.487
Holstein Kiel attack strength 0.520
Holstein Kiel defence strength 1.334
FC Augsburg attack strength 0.792
FC Augsburg defence strength 1.171
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 14 / 48