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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 26 Apr 2025

14:30

Venue

Holstein-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Mönchengladbach Win

21%

Holstein Kiel

4.66

20%

Draw

5.12

59%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

1.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.3%

Draw

1 – 3

7.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Holstein Kiel xG

Total xG

3.87

2.43

Borussia Mönchengladbach xG

21%
20%
59%
Holstein KielDrawBorussia Mönchengladbach

4.66

21%

Home win

5.12

20%

Draw

1.70

59%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

74%

Over 2.5

1.35

26%

Under 2.5

3.85

54%

Over 3.5

1.85

46%

Under 3.5

2.17

35%

Over 4.5

2.86

65%

Under 4.5

1.54

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

70%

BTTS Yes

1.43

30%

BTTS No

3.32

Clean Sheet

9%

Holstein Kiel

11.32

24%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

4.22

Win to Nil

2%

Holstein Kiel

52.75

14%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

7.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.1 5.1 6.2 5.0 3.0 1.5
1 3.0 7.3 8.9 7.2 4.4 2.1
2 2.2 5.3 6.4 5.2 3.1 1.5
3 1.0 2.5 3.1 2.5 1.5 0.7
4 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.3
5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.439
λ Away (xG) 2.427
Total xG 3.866
League avg home goals 1.483
League avg away goals 1.449
Holstein Kiel attack strength 0.845
Holstein Kiel defence strength 1.415
Borussia Mönchengladbach attack strength 1.183
Borussia Mönchengladbach defence strength 1.148
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 64