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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 10 May 2026

14:30

Venue

Volksparkstadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hamburger SV Win

45%

Hamburger SV

2.25

26%

Draw

3.78

29%

SC Freiburg

3.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Hamburger SV xG

Total xG

2.51

1.09

SC Freiburg xG

45%
26%
29%
Hamburger SVDrawSC Freiburg

2.25

45%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

3.45

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.98

50%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

34%

Hamburger SV

2.98

24%

SC Freiburg

4.14

Win to Nil

15%

Hamburger SV

6.70

7%

SC Freiburg

14.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 8.9 4.8 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 11.5 12.6 6.9 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 8.2 8.9 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.9 4.2 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 1.4 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.420
λ Away (xG) 1.092
Total xG 2.512
League avg home goals 1.720
League avg away goals 1.458
Hamburger SV attack strength 0.754
Hamburger SV defence strength 0.999
SC Freiburg attack strength 0.750
SC Freiburg defence strength 1.096
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 66