Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 1 Mar 2026

18:30

Venue

Volksparkstadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

RB Leipzig Win

35%

Hamburger SV

2.85

27%

Draw

3.77

38%

RB Leipzig

2.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

8.8%

Away win

1 – 2

8.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Hamburger SV xG

Total xG

2.79

1.43

RB Leipzig xG

35%
27%
38%
Hamburger SVDrawRB Leipzig

2.85

35%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

2.60

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

24%

Hamburger SV

4.18

26%

RB Leipzig

3.88

Win to Nil

8%

Hamburger SV

11.92

10%

RB Leipzig

10.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 8.8 6.3 3.0 1.1 0.3
1 8.4 12.0 8.6 4.1 1.5 0.4
2 5.7 8.1 5.8 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 2.6 3.7 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.357
λ Away (xG) 1.431
Total xG 2.788
League avg home goals 1.716
League avg away goals 1.356
Hamburger SV attack strength 0.948
Hamburger SV defence strength 0.977
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.080
RB Leipzig defence strength 0.834
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 57