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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
FSV Mainz 05 Win
19%
5.20
20%
4.99
61%
1.65
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 2
9.8%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
9.0%
Draw
0 – 2
8.5%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.15
Hamburger SV xG
Total xG
3.32
2.17
FSV Mainz 05 xG
Hamburger SVDrawFSV Mainz 05
5.20
19%
Home win
4.99
20%
Draw
1.65
61%
Away win
Goals Markets
84%
Over 1.5
1.19
16%
Under 1.5
6.25
64%
Over 2.5
1.56
36%
Under 2.5
2.78
42%
Over 3.5
2.38
58%
Under 3.5
1.72
24%
Over 4.5
4.17
76%
Under 4.5
1.32
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.65
39%
BTTS No
2.53
Clean Sheet
11%
8.79
32%
3.15
Win to Nil
2%
45.73
19%
5.19
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.6 | 7.8 | 8.5 | 6.2 | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| 1 | 4.1 | 9.0 | 9.8 | 7.1 | 3.9 | 1.7 |
| 2 | 2.4 | 5.2 | 5.6 | 4.1 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 3 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.148
λ Away (xG)
2.174
Total xG
3.322
League avg home goals
1.568
League avg away goals
1.580
Hamburger SV attack strength
0.822
Hamburger SV defence strength
1.186
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength
1.160
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength
0.891
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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